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Double elimination: A show of strength and a resounding message

Ismail Haniyeh. Wikipedia

Last night, Israel carried out a simultaneous attack, at sites far apart: Late in the evening, Fuad Sackir, known as Sid-Muhsen, one of the main Hezbollah leaders and a close friend to Nasrallah (some would even define him as number 2 in the terrorist organization) was assassinated, in response to Hezbollah’s deadly shooting at Majdal Shams, which killed 12 children and teenagers last Saturday. The Israeli attack in Lebanon was expected, and it was clear that it would come a few days in advance – but there is no doubt that Hezbollah and Israel’s enemies were surprised by the IDF’s daring attack in the heart of Beirut.

But an even bigger surprise awaited them a few hours later, when in the outskirts of Tehran Ismail Haniya, the official leader of the Hamas movement and head of the terrorist organization’s political bureau for many years, was assassinated. Haniya has been a familiar face to every Israeli for decades, and blood of many civilians and soldiers has been on his hands. So far, Israel has avoided attacking the leaders of Hamas’ political bureau (with the exception of Saleh al-Arouri, who was assassinated in early January), and it seems that Haniya had already begun to feel comfortable – and in addition, no one in the “resistance axis” thought that Israel would dare to carry out such an assassination in the capital of Iran. But reality has exceeded all imagination.

This is undoubtedly Israel’s most daring attack since the beginning of the war, and an extraordinary display of capabilities, which clarifies to the entire region Israel’s intelligence and operational superiority. Details of the nature of the attack were not provided, and may not even be fully known to the enemy – with general indications of an air strike in Beirut, and an attack by a missile in Iran – when it is not clear whether the attack was launched from a plane, submarine, or from the ground, in Iran or in another country.

The attack will have positive consequences in terms of the terrorist organizations’ capabilities. Hamas will find it very difficult to elect and appoint a new leader, and certainly not one of the highest caliber of the group, which will harm the organization’s functioning, whose senior officials are being eliminated. And in Hezbollah, Sid-Muhsen’s good managerial abilities will be lost (Sid-Muhsen was in charge of the missile precision project – a significant strategic threat to Israel), and Nasrallah will feel more isolated at the top, and feel the rope tightening around his neck.

And of course, there is the question of the response – both Iran and Hezbollah cannot restrain (neither can Hamas, but it also has no significant means of response), and there is an expectation of a significant response in the near future. The world is afraid of a deterioration into an all-out war, and indeed it may not be far away – and with the capabilities demonstrated last night, along with the capabilities demonstrated on April 14, there is no doubt who will win this war. It is possible that the terrorist organizations will turn to an attempt to harm Jewish institutions abroad, and security is being increased now around synagogues around the world, as well as around the Israeli delegation to the Olympics. There is no doubt that Israel must now prepare for defense in Israel and around the world, as well as be in a suitable state of mind for going to war.

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